BehaviorGap’s Teachings Validated: Learnings from Nippon Growth Fund’s 200X Growth

Reproduced as posted on my Twitter ID:

A few months back, an interesting news played out in the Indian #mutualfund industry. One of the oldest funds @NipponIndiaMF, went around town claiming (rightly so) how their flagship fund Nippon Growth Fund (erstwhile Reliance Growth Fund) had delivered stellar returns:

Launched in Oct 95, the fund crossed the 2000/- NAV mark thus delivering a 200X absolute return (20000% sounds better) … which translated to an enviable CAGR of ~23% … but that’s not where the story ends …

Today (17-Sep-2024) when I rehash this post again after around 29 months, the latest NAV of the fund has crossed an astounding 4187/-

My mentor, peer, and sharp as a tack @amarpandit74 made an astute observation. Over an email and a blog post later, he asked Nippon a pertinent question, “While the fund has delivered a 200X performance, how many investors have truly got this (kind of returns)?”

The team at Nippon after some frantic number-crunching came up with the answer to the question. The answer was more dismal than Amar’s “1% investors” prediction. Published in this aptly titled @livemint article: “The Missing MF Millionaires”

https://www.livemint.com/mutual-fund/mf-news/nippon-amc-sheds-light-on-missing-mf-millionaires-11634232789297.html

” … only 2,600 investors have stayed with the fund since inception and their AUM is a mere ₹5 lakh. In other words, this cohort of patient investors would have invested just ₹2,415 on average at the time when this fund was launched.”

This was like the Indian case study validation of what @behaviorgap has been trying to preach, for the better part of the last decade.

A simple yet not so obvious point he makes is this:

That brings me to the second point of this long post. That is:


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